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Intermediate · 12 modules
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Investing Basics

ETFs, MERs, robo-advisors, DIY portfolios.

Module 1 of 12
📈8 min read

Why you invest - inflation is your enemy

$10,000 in cash today is worth about $7,440 in real terms after 10 years of 3% inflation. Cash isn't safe - it's a slow leak. Investing is how you stay ahead of inflation.

What you'll learn

  • Cash loses value every year to inflation

  • Stocks, bonds, real estate, cash - the four asset classes

  • Time in market vs timing the market

  • Risk vs volatility vs actually losing money

The Canadian number

~3.2%/yr

Average Canadian inflation 2020-2024

Source: Statistics Canada

Cash vs stocks over 10 years - at 3% inflation and 7% stock return

Cash under the mattress
Invested in stocks

Real value of $10,000

Inflation eats ~26% of cash's purchasing power in 10 years. Stocks nearly double it. Volatility is temporary - inflation erosion is permanent.

Cash is not as safe as you think

Most people think keeping money in a savings account is the safest option. In one sense it is - your balance never drops. But inflation quietly erodes what that balance can buy.

At 3% inflation, $10,000 today buys only about $7,440 worth of goods in 10 years. Over 30 years, it drops to roughly $4,000 in purchasing power. Your bank balance stays the same, but everything around it gets more expensive.

Investing is how you fight back. Historically, a diversified stock portfolio returns 7-10% per year before inflation. Even after inflation, you come out ahead. Cash guarantees you fall behind.

Time in market beats timing the market

New investors often wait for the "right time" to start. They want stocks to dip before buying. Research consistently shows this fails - even professional fund managers can't reliably time markets.

What works is staying invested. If you missed just the 10 best trading days on the TSX over a 20-year stretch, your returns would be cut roughly in half. Those best days often come right after the worst days, when scared investors have already sold.

The takeaway: start now, stay in, and let compounding do the heavy lifting. A mediocre portfolio held for 30 years beats a perfect portfolio held for 10.

The four asset classes - stocks, bonds, real estate, and cash

Every investment falls into one of four broad categories. Understanding each one lets you build a portfolio that matches your goals and sleep quality.

STOCKS (EQUITIES): you own a piece of a business. Returns come from price growth and dividends. Long-term average: 7-10% per year. Volatility is high - you will see drops of 20-40% in bad years. Best for goals 10+ years away.

BONDS (FIXED INCOME): you lend money to governments or corporations. They pay you interest on a schedule and return your principal at maturity. Long-term average: 3-5% per year. Lower volatility. Best for goals 3-10 years away or as a stabilizer in a portfolio.

REAL ESTATE: you own property - either directly (your home, a rental) or through REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) that trade like stocks. Returns come from rental income and property appreciation. Illiquid if held directly. Canadian home prices have averaged 5-7% annual growth over the past 25 years, though with significant regional variation.

CASH AND EQUIVALENTS: savings accounts, GICs, money market funds. Principal is guaranteed. Returns: 2-5% depending on rates. Best for emergency funds and goals under 3 years.

Most Canadians only need two of these in their investment portfolio: stocks and bonds. An all-in-one ETF like XEQT or VBAL gives you both in a single purchase. Real estate is already covered if you own a home. Cash belongs in your emergency fund.

Risk vs volatility vs actually losing money - three different things

Beginners often use 'risk' to mean 'my portfolio might go down.' But there are actually three distinct concepts, and conflating them leads to bad decisions.

VOLATILITY is how much your portfolio bounces around day-to-day and month-to-month. A 100% stock portfolio is highly volatile - it might drop 25% in a bad quarter. But volatility is not the same as loss. If you do not sell during the dip, the drop is temporary.

RISK is the probability of a PERMANENT loss of capital. A single stock can go to zero (Nortel, 2002). A diversified index fund has never gone to zero - even after 2008, the global stock market recovered within a few years. Diversification transforms volatility from a risk into a temporary inconvenience.

INFLATION RISK is the quiet killer. Cash in a savings account at 2% while inflation runs at 3% means you are LOSING purchasing power every year. Over 30 years, you lose roughly 26% of your purchasing power. This is a real, permanent loss - you just do not see it on a statement.

The practical hierarchy: a diversified stock portfolio is volatile but not risky over long periods. Cash is not volatile but IS risky over long periods (inflation). A concentrated bet on a single stock is BOTH volatile and risky. The smartest thing a new investor can do is learn to tolerate short-term volatility in exchange for long-term growth - and avoid confusing the bumpy ride with actual danger.

Cheat sheet

  • Inflation at 3% cuts your cash purchasing power by ~26% over 10 years
  • Four asset classes: stocks (growth), bonds (stability), real estate (income), cash (safety)
  • Volatility is temporary; inflation erosion is permanent
  • Time in market beats timing the market - missing 10 best days halves your returns
  • Start investing as early as possible - compounding rewards time above all else

Common pitfalls

  • Waiting for a market dip to start investing - the best time to start was yesterday
  • Confusing volatility (temporary drops) with risk (permanent loss)
  • Keeping all savings in cash and thinking it is 'safe' while inflation eats it

Did you know?

A Canadian who invested $10,000 in the S&P/TSX Composite in 1995 and held through every crash - the dot-com bust, 2008, 2020 - would have over $75,000 in 2025. The same $10,000 in a savings account at 2% would be worth about $18,000. Staying invested through the scary parts was worth $57,000.

This week's action

Calculate: how much less is $10,000 in cash worth after 10 years of 3% inflation? (~$7,440)